NEW DAY, SAME FORECAST - The overall forecast won't really change today through the weekend; hot, breezy days, fair nights with afternoon highs mostly in the mid to upper 90s. Any potential for afternoon isolated showers and thunderstorms will be confined to our southeastern counties, but most will stay dry today through the weekend.
Robust tropical moisture begins to advect from the Gulf on Sunday, but won't really arrive until Monday. We will still continue to mention the chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms on Sunday with highs in the low 90s.
NEXT WEEK - Deep, tropical moisture reaches the Lone Star State from the west and the south, which also means long-term drought areas will see somewhat of relief next week. Highs will mostly be in the upper 80s with scattered showers and thunderstorms most likely on Monday and Tuesday for North Texas. It is hard to forecast exact start/stop times of the thunderstorms due to the random nature of them. The best chance of any one spot getting wet will be in the 50/50 range. If you have any outdoor activities, plan for it to rain at any time on Monday and Tuesday. We will continue to mention the chance of isolated showers and storms on Wednesday, but we start to clear house on Thursday. Rain totals will be in the 1 to 1 1/2 inch category for areas that do receive rain. The sky will be mostly cloudy on most days. See the Texas Weather Discussion Video for more details.
TROPICS - A broad area of low pressure is currently located near the Yucatan Peninsula today. It will continue to move into the Bay of Campeche later this evening into tonight. This should not develop into a tropical cyclone, but will indeed push beneficial moisture into Texas this weekend. The rest of the Atlantic Basin stays quiet.
On our left hand, Bud is still hanging on as a tropical storm as it approaches Baja California from the south. It is forecast to dissipate this weekend, but, it will push moisture into the southwestern parts of the U.S, including West Texas and the panhandle, where the worst of the drought is taking place.