VERY WARM SEPTEMBER - It was a warm September across North Texas with a mean of 78.1 degrees. The highest temperature we have seen was 95 degrees on the first day of September.
WELCOME TO OCTOBER - October is usually the fourth wettest month of the year for most of North Texas, and usually features falling temperatures as well. It has been as hot as 106 degrees, recorded on October 3, 1951. Subsequently, it has been as cold as 24 degrees, recorded in October 30, 1917. Earliest first freeze ever recorded for DFW was on October 22, 1898.
TODAY - We are forecasting mostly sunny skies today with any showers to the south few and far between. A few clouds will linger, and the high will be in the upper 80s.
REST OF THE WEEK - An upper ridge will continue to hold over the southern U.S., which will lead to more warm and humid afternoon weather. This means mostly sunny days, fair nights, and above average temperatures. The high will be in the upper 80s tomorrow, followed by upper 80s Thursday and middle 80s on Friday. This is about five to seven degrees above the average high of 83 degrees on October 1st.
THE WEEKEND - A very high amplitude pattern develops in the U.S. with a cold trough over the northwestern U.S. followed by a strong ridge to the east. The trough will do a good job of pushing a cold front down our way, which will mean cooler temperatures and, of course, more rain chances. We will keep rain chances for the weekend to a minimum, based on current trends of the ridge not making it all the way down south. We will maintain partly to mostly cloudy skies for most of the weekend with afternoon highs in the low 80s.
NEXT WEEK - The upper trough pushes the ridge to the east, which means we will have cooler temperatures and more frequent chances of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms as a result of the cold front. See the Texas Weather Discussion Video for more details.
TROPICS - Tropical Storm Leslie is still meandering in the Central Atlantic. It could become a hurricane later, but will be stationary and will not impact any land. Tropical Storm Rosa in the Pacific will come closer to the southwestern US today, bringing moisture further north which could support a flood threat over the affected area for the next few days.