After a cloudy and fairly chilly day in the 50s (relative for March) widespread rain will move in late tonight. Some of this could be heavy at times, with 1-2" possible in some spots. Best chance is north of I/20, where we have advertised a 100% chance of rain. No severe storms are expected with chilly temperature, but a few storms with lightning and a little small hail aren't completely out of the question.
These will move out by mid morning tomorrow, but a couple scattered showers will linger through the day. Highs will be in the 60s. Tuesday and Wednesday will have scattered afternoon storms, however both Tuesday night and Wednesday night a line of potentially strong or severe thunderstorms may develop in West Texas and make a run at North Texas. Right now, I think they stay northwest especially Tuesday night. Wednesday nights forecast will have a large affect on Thursday. If a line of storms comes in Thursday morning, we will have to see how much destabilization we can have during the afternoon. If there is enough, strong or severe thunderstorms will likely redevelop. There's also a possibility that the squall line stays north and west of the area, and that would increase the risk of severe storms Thursday afternoon and evening along the dryline. IF storms develop, they would be capable of large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes. Stay tuned on that aspect of the forecast as we work through details. A strong cold front will push in Thursday night, and an additional line of storms may develop. Some of these will pose a severe threat as well. Friday will be cooler in the 60s, and a few morning showers or storms will be possible. Saturday and Sunday will be chilly in the 40s and 50s potentially, with increasing rain chances as a disturbance approaches from the south. Nothing heavy or severe is projected at this time. Logan Shipley |
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March 2021
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