Scattered showers & sTorms back in the forecast!

Good evening, North Texas! Today was a beautiful day, but the clouds and drizzle have moved into the region. We will continue with these clouds and drizzle into the overnight, with a few isolated to scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm developing overnight especially from Sherman to Dallas to Waco points westward. No severe storms are anticipated. Tomorrow morning will be warm and humid, with temperatures in the upper 50s and 60s in DFW, with upper 40s to near 50° in our eastern counties where clouds and precipitation will be less numerous. Clouds will cover all of the area by 7AM tomorrow, with spotty shower/storm activity around. A few more numerous areas of showers and thunderstorms will develop by tomorrow afternoon, with about 40-50% of North Texas picking up rainfall. While widespread severe weather isn't expected, a strong to possibly severe thunderstorm with hail and high winds cannot be ruled out. Heavy rain will be the primary hazard leading to localized flooding due to all the recent rainfall. By tomorrow evening, showers and storms will move out of DFW and we will be stuck with the clouds and light rain. Something that has caught my attention is the pacific cold front that will move into the area tomorrow night. The MU CAPE values (most unstable convective available potential energy) across the Dallas/Fort Worth area will be near 1000-1500 with surface based CAPE near 800-1200 across the area. With this being said, we anticipate a few storms to develop along this front late tomorrow night. With sufficient instability and shear, a few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible. The shear will be near 50kts which may support a few rotating cells, so we will monitor any low tornado potential. Only a 30% coverage of storms is expected, which may increase the overall severe risk with storms not fighting for energy which can weaken storms. The storms won't have to fight for energy so each cell could be on the stronger side. We will watch that closely. The best chance of storms will be EAST of DFW, but still a few isolated storms (possibly strong to severe) will be possible. Scattered storms will continue into Monday morning, but then rain moves out and we dry out during the afternoon, but sunshine may be hard to come by. Mostly cloudy skies will continue into the afternoon. Cooler air will penetrate into the region on Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the low 60s on Tuesday, with mid to upper 50s on Wednesday, so grab that light jacket! You may want to coats during the morning with temperatures in the 30s with isolated 20s possible. We will reach 60° Thursday with sunshine continuing and the 70s by Friday. We will warm to near 80° by next Saturday with a chance of storms, some of which may be severe.

The 7 day forecast will be uploaded to the website before 12:00pm tomorrow. Sorry for the inconvenience the past few days, I've been very busy!

-Jonathan Williams