Above is your UPDATED seven day forecast, and I've removed mention of isolated storms tomorrow, as all rain will be confined to our far southeastern counties tomorrow. Cloudy skies and fog will be the headlines in the morning, but areas WEST of I/35 will break out into abundant sunshine, but areas east of I/35 may be blanketed under the clouds for most of the day. Highs tomorrow in DFW will be in the 60s, with 70s west of DFW and 50s east of DFW. I expect DFW to see some sun by afternoon, but if the sunshine struggles to come out, we may stay in the 50s. My forecast high is 65° and I think that high temperatures will suffice. Some more sunshine is expected Monday, but a few spotty storms return late Monday Night into Tuesday morning, but widespread rain, and possibly even some thunderstorms, are expected by late afternoon Tuesday. Meager instability will limit the threat of severe weather during the afternoon, but a strong storm with small hail and gusty winds is possible mainly south of D/FW. Storms will exit the region Tuesday night with a break overnight into Wednesday morning. By midday Wednesday, a cold front and dryline will approach our western counties, possibly firing up some scattered supercellular thunderstorms, with severe storms possible with sufficient instability and very strong shear. With the strong shear, damaging winds and potentially tornadoes will likely be the main severe threats, but with impressive lapse rates, some large hail to the size of tennis balls may be possible during the afternoon. While this doesn't look to be a tornado outbreak, a few tornadoes are possible, and we will closely monitor this threat the next few days. Scattered to widespread severe storms will push from west to east during the afternoon, but then a cold front will bring in a damaging wind threat as a squall line of storms develops. Lingering rain and rumbles of thunder are likely Thursday morning, then we dry out and we will be 10-20° cooler Thursday compared to Wednesday. Warmer weather moves back in next weekend, with maybe a small chance of a thunderstorm next Sunday mainly E of D/FW. Some relatively cooler air (50s for highs) will return next week.
WINTER WEATHER: We have a chance of seeing some colder air in March, but the pattern doesn't look to completely support snow or ice chances. But, any disturbances near the Sea of Japan may bring chances of wintery weather, and if a high pressure system can develop over Florida, moisture will have to wrap around the upper level high and will force moisture back into North Texas. Obviously if this happens and we have cold air, we could squeeze out some light wintery precipitation, even with little to no lift. But, if this doesn't occur but we do have a system, we may possibly have some very light wintery precipitation. If all three of these factors can come together, than we may have a winter storm to deal with. Again, this cold air will likely be in place during the first FULL week of March. The overall risk of us seeing any winter weather appears LOW in my opinion, but there is indeed at least a chance of seeing winter weather before we enter Spring.