Widespread Rain This Weekend; Pattern Change Late Next Week

HOT SEPTEMBER WEATHER - Temperatures are starting off  in the low to mid 70s to start off our Wednesday morning.  The sky will be mostly sunny with a few clouds, with highs in the 92-97 degree range this afternoon.

Not much change in the weather conditions tomorrow...  Hot and mostly dry are the main words.  However, moisture will slowly increase throughout the day as a surface front approaches the area, so we will mention slightly higher cloud cover with a few afternoon showers and thunderstorms.  Highs will be in the low 90s.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND - The surface front gets even closer to North Texas, so we will continue to maintain the chance of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours on Friday as moisture levels continue to rise.  A lot of high school football games occur Friday evening, so expect delays and even cancellations across the North Texas area.  Odds of one spot getting wet Friday afternoon and evening will be around 60/70 percent.  Then, the surface front stalls Saturday and Sunday, which means most of the day will likely be wet with widespread showers and thunderstorms as moisture levels continue to remain high.  The chance of one spot getting wet is in the 90 percent category on Saturday, and 50 percent on Sunday (which may increase over time).  Rain amounts of around 2 to 3 inches or greater can be expected over the next few days.  Highs will be in the upper 80s on Friday, falling into the low 80s for the weekend.

NEXT WEEK - Moisture tries to stick around in the wake of a stalling surface front during the weekend, so we will need to mention the chance of at least isolated showers and thunderstorms during the early half of next week.  Then, a few global models wants to push a surface front down with an upper trough to the north.  This would mean the latter half of next week would also be fairly wet, but we will maintain a dry forecast until confidence increases. 

An upper trough is expected to dig into our Central third of the nation by the end of the week, which will give us better rain chances, and much cooler air by the 7-10 day time frame.  See the Texas Weather Discussion Video for more details.

TROPICS - There is a wave in the Southern Atlantic that is disorganized.  The NHC only gives it a 10 percent chance of development due to strong upper-level winds.  The rest of the Atlantic Basin is quiet.