WARM START: Temperatures are currently in the upper 60s to low 70s later this morning, which is very unusual for mid April because usually we would be in the mid 50s at this point. As what always happens most of the time, warm starts will usually lead to relatively hot afternoons, and temperatures will be in the low 90s with a mostly sunny sky.
A tight low pressure gradient over Denver, Colorado will make for a very windy day across the Plains, and a Wind Advisory is in effect for much of North Texas today for winds of around 20-25 mph with gusts of up to 40-45 mph. Higher sustained winds will remain to the west, where a combination of high winds, low humidity, and high temperatures will lead to a potentially dangerous fire weather day across West Texas and Central and eastern New Mexico.
Then, on Thursday, we will mention highs in the low 70s and upper 60s on Friday with a cold front drifting down into the state. Both days will feature mostly sunny skies. Rain amounts (if any) should remain very light.
STORMY WEEKEND AHEAD: A dynamic storm system emerges from the southwest and should bring widespread showers and thunderstorms to the state throughout the day Saturday. Global models suggests that the main window for strong to severe storms for East Texas will come from about 12:00 PM to 12:00 AM early Sunday morning. This is guaranteed to change as we get closer to the weekend. THe SPC has already defined an "enhanced risk" of severe storms for small Ark-La-Miss-TX corridor, with the standard risk of severe weather surrounding that.
It looks like the main threat of severe weather will come from mostly damaging winds, but large hail, and tornadoes look to be a possibility as well. Be sure you have a severe weather plan in place. Have a NOAA Weather Radio, and a call to action to put your people in a safe place in the event of extreme hail, wind, or a tornado warning.
NEXT WEEK: The first part of next week will be dry and cooler than today... Highs will be in the upper 70s with early morning lows in the 50s... See the Texas Weather Discussion Video for more details.