WINTER(?) - Albeit a bit cool, today was an absolutely pleasant day, especially the afternoon; I could not find a cloud in the sky as I was driving to Plano today! A very weak cold front, which resulted in a wind shift to the northwest, helped to keep the winds speeds up this afternoon. Due to the abundance of dry air just above the surface, no precipitation is expected through the rest of the evening.
We will be chilly overnight, as always, with temperatures in mid 30s across North Texas. Mid to upper level cloud cover combined with radiational cooling will allow patchy fog to develop in most low-lying spots across the region tomorrow morning. Although a majority of the fog should be relatively shallow, a few dense areas is not completely out of the question. Make sure to exercise caution if you encounter any of those spots while driving.
Not much change during the day tomorrow and Tuesday. Another mostly sunny, pleasant day is expected with temperatures in the low to mid 60s. Make sure to go outside for at least 30 minutes and enjoy it because we are supposed to be in the mid 50s around this time of the year.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: Another cold front will enter our northwestern counties Tuesday night, exiting the southeastern counties by Wednesday evening. Convergence along the cold front will lead to Isolated to scattered showers and storms ahead of the cold front. Not everyone will see rain; the best chance of any particular spot getting wet is about one in three, with the highest chances to the east of Interstate 35, where the highest moisture content lies. The lack of CAPE (instability) will keep any threat of severe weather to a bare minimum. Rain totals should be very light across the region, ranging from a trace to the northwest to about a half of an inch to the southeastern areas. Highs will be in the upper 50s to low 60s.
Then, we go back to fairly quiet weather on Thursday and Friday. Same forecast ensues with partly cloudy skies, highs in the low to mid 60s, and overnight lows in the 30s.
THE WEEKEND: Saturday will feature a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the low 50s. By Sunday, a surface low develops near Big Bend, tracking towards the Gulf Coast, bringing precipitation a large part of the region. Global models have been showing winter precipitation in our area, however, because of certain model's natural cold bias, will forecast any precipitation as all rain at this present time, some of which may be heavy. For now, we will roll with more clouds than sun and highs in the mid 40s.
NEXT WEEK: Fairly tranquil weather for at least early next week. We go back to at or below normal temperatures with highs in the 50s. A mix of sun and clouds is expected each day.
Colin and Logan should be back from vacation this week, so expect the next blog entry on Sunday! Enjoy the week!