VERY STRONG SUBSIDENCE - A strong upper meter high is located over the Deep South, and the sinking air is subsequently precluding any showers or thunderstorms from forming in North Texas. We will continue to be mostly sunny today with highs in the upper 80s/lower 90s, 7-10 degrees above average for early October in North Texas.
THE WEEKEND - A cold front moves south during the weekend, but doesn't quite make it to North Texas on Saturday. We will still mention the chance of a few scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon though. Odds of one spot getting wet are in the 30 percent bracket. Moisture increases Sunday, and we will subsequently mention the chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon, which brings the chances of a spot getting wet to the 50/50 percent range. Highs will be in the middle 80s with partly to mostly sunny skies.
NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND - Showers and thunderstorms will continue through the early part of next week, with Tuesday having the best chance of one getting wet as the storm system pushes off to the east. Storms will taper off Wednesday morning, and we should be dry for the rest of the week. Highs will stay close to 80 degrees for most of the workweek with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Global models continue to indicate a possible pattern chance which much cooler temperatures by the middle of the month. See the Texas Weather Discussion Video for more details.
TROPICS - Tropical Storm Leslie is in the middle of the Atlantic, it will continue to remain to far from land. The NHC now gives the disturbance near the Yucatan Peninsula a 60 percent chance of developing within the next five days as it continues its journey northward towards the Gulf of Mexico.