Mild Start - Mild start is something we haven't said in quite some time... Temperatures are in the mid to upper 60s around the region this morning, and we will get warmer as we head throughout the day. With a mix of sun and clouds, temperatures should be in the low 80s today, with some places maybe reaching record temperatures. The record high for February 15 in Dallas is 83, set in 2005.
Temperatures fall during the day tomorrow, and we should be in the low to mid 40s by the evening hours due to cold air advection. We will most likely reach our high temperature in the morning hours. We will also introduce a chance of showers, mainly during the morning hours. It should be a mostly cloudy pay.
The Weekend - Moisture surges from the north, and we will continue with a chance of widespread showers and storms during the day on Saturday in wake of a cold front. This will bring beneficial rains to state during the weekend. No way of telling exact start/stop times, but prepare for a very wet and muggy day on Saturday. Rain amounts will be in the 1-1 1/2 inch range in most spots. We only reach the low 50s Saturday.
We trend drier on Sunday, but we could see moisture from the south, and we will mention another chance of showers during the day. Rain amounts should stay fairly light, and we should warm to the low 60s. No severe weather is expected.
Next Week - The overall upper air pattern remains the same; Troughing in the western U.S, ridging in the Gulf of Mexico. We will mention the chance of some rain everyday next week. Strong to severe storms become possible on Monday as a corridor of instability develops, but keep in mind that Monday is four days out and a lot of things can change. Highs should be in the 50-60s. See the Texas Weather Discussion Video for more details.