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The clouds have been widespread this morning and this trend will continue through the next 24-36 hours. Some drizzle is out there now, but scattered (40%) showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon. While severe weather is not expected, a few strong storms are possible producing gusty winds, heavy rain, small hail, frequent cloud to ground lightning, and very loud rumbles of thunder! Any (low) severe risk will remain well north of our area closer to the upper level system. A weak cold front will move in tonight, possibly with a skinny line of showers and storms along it. A few strong storms are possible, but severe weather is NOT expected. Some storms may produce brief heavy rain and gusty winds, however. All thunderstorms will push east of the area tomorrow morning, but clouds will hold very firm through the day tomorrow. We may see a hour or two of near midday, but clouds will roll in ahead of our next cold front by 2PM, so mostly cloudy weather will prevail. A few sprinkles are possible with this front, but no measurable precipitation is expected. I cannot completely rule out a shower or two, but coverage will remain less than 10%. Skies will clear late tomorrow night, but the cold air behind the front will be delayed. Highs will be in the mid 60s, but we will fall into the lower to mid 30s Tuesday night with another freeze possible, but we will only rebound to the mid to upper 50s Wednesday afternoon, with our western and southern counties reaching the 60s. We will fall back to near freezing Wednesday night, and we will reach the 60° mark by Thursday. Sunshine will continue to be the player from Tuesday to Thursday. Ahead of our next cold front/upper level system, clouds will return by Friday with widespread cloud cover and isolated showers and thunderstorms. With a dryline and a cold front along with a strong system, we will watch for severe weather to return by Saturday. CAPE values will be approaching 3,000 JKg and with strong shear, we will likely have a potential of rotating supercells Saturday afternoon and night. It's too early to tell which types of severe weather will be the primary risks, but all modes of severe weather including large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes, and flash flooding appear possible. This does have the potential to be our first significant severe weather event of the season. Thunderstorms will he scattered in nature Saturday afternoon, with a line of strong storms during the overnight hours. I'll keep you updated on this potential.
Planters: With frost and freezes back into the forecast this week, please abstain from planting anything. March still can be freezes and I do believe this may not be our last freezes, so again, please to not plant yet! I'll let you know when it is safe. Regarding the seven day forecast: I hope to have it uploaded today, and follow my twitter @apexwx2 for when I say it's been released. It's been a very busy week and I haven't had much time! If it's not uploaded today (and I plan to have it uploaded soon) it will be uploaded tomorrow! Have a blessed Sunday! ;) - Jonathan Williams |
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