After a cool day today, tomorrow through Thursday will be warm with highs in the 80s, with mainly sunny skies but some clouds return into the middle part of the week.
By Friday, a strong cold front and dryline will be heading eastward into Texas. A few strong to marginally severe storms are possible in West Texas Friday, and this doesn't appear to be a major severe weather outbreak. A few storms may produce up to half dollar size hail and 60+mph wind gusts. By Friday evening, scattered showers and storms will be around in DFW with a few storms capable of heavy rain, lightning, pea size hail, and 40-50mph wind gusts. The severe risk will still be west of our area, but limited instability will migitate the overall risk of severe weather across the area. I can't completely rule out a storm with quarter size hail or 60mph wind gusts in DFW, but it seems quite unlikely. The cold fromg/dryline combination will still be west of the DFW Saturday morning. Showers and thunderstorms will be ongoing, especially west of the DFW at least through 10am. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible in DFW during the morning hours. By afternoon, a complex of strong storms seen plausible in North Texas. A few of these storms may produce a severe risk, mainly with a damaging wind risk and a threat of quarter size hail or slightly larger with steep lapse rates. It appears likely that a good chunk of the area will end up in either a marginal (level 1) or slight (level 2) risk of strong to severe storms on Saturday. Another threat will be very heavy riangall. Amounts of 2-4" may fall across the area, especially areas along and north of I/20. A wrap-around band of showers & storms that's produce small hail and gusty winds will move into the northern sections of the area (north of I/20) Saturday Night into Sunday Morning. |
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