After a long, dry stretch of weather across North Texas, the pattern is changing and rain becomes likely, as early as tonight.
Our initial cold front is still north of the area, and will increase the chances of showers and storms heading into the late evening and overnight hours. A small area of showers/storms is located to the north of the metroplex as of 6pm, and will slowly drift SE and shouldn’t affect the metroplex, but may affect our NE counties.
New storms are expected to fire up late tonight and the coverage will be near 50-70%. This will linger into the morning hours tomorrow. Subsidence behind the main morning rain will make it a tricky afternoon forecast, but we should at least see scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon hours tomorrow.
More rain moves in Friday morning and will continue through the day. More waves will occur through Monday. The highest totals will be north of I/20 through Monday with 1-4” likely with locally higher totals possible. Highs the next several days may struggle to reach 90°F.
Due to some weak ridging, our far southern counties and Central Texas totals will be much lower, but any outflows could ignite storms in Central Texas. Less than 1” is expected near the Waco area and generally less than 1/2“ towards the Austin area. However, if any boundaries linger there then some hit or miss storms aren’t ruled out.
We should dry out by Tuesday and Wednesday with temperatures warming up.