After a cloudy and cold afternoon today with current temps in the lower 50s, we stay this way tomorrow, except some rain is in the forecast.
As a disturbance approaches the western half of Texas, scattered showers and a few rumbles of thunder will roll into North Texas mid to late morning tomorrow. This will not be anything severe, but a few showers may produce some moderate rain at times. This has really begun to show up in some of the mesoscale models, especially the HRRR.
Coverage is only expected to be 30-40%, but have the rain gear ready for some splash-n'-dash type of day.
Highs tomorrow will struggle to reach the mid to upper 50s, with most areas in the lower to a few mid 50s, but a few areas may only stay in the 40s!
Have the jacket/coat ready to roll out the morning door, because air temperatures may be in the 30s across the area.
And NO, there will not be any winter precipitation tomorrow, but indeed some chilly temperatures will be around.
A few models have us reaching the 60s tomorrow, but guidance has continued to trend colder and colder and colder. Therefore, we will lower highs to the lower/mid 50s.
The frontal boundary will lift back north tomorrow night, causing for increasing temperatures overnight tomorrow and more moisture.
Another cold front and a shortwave will approach the area Tuesday, and as these meet over DFW near midday, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected. Some instability could support a few stronger storms will hail and strong winds. Some storms will be severe, mainly east of the Dallas/Fort Worth area. Large hail and damaging winds are possible in those areas, but that does NOT include the DFW area.
Behind the front Tuesday afternoon, we will turn cooler with temperatures in the 60s.
Clouds will be with us however through most of the afternoon.
We will turn sunny and cool on Wednesday with cooler air and subsidence behind the boundary. Highs will be in the upper 50s and lower to mid 60s.
Some clouds will move towards the area Thursday with a disturbance in the central plains, but we should remain mainly dry on Thursday, but an isolated storm isn't ruled out along the Red River during the afternoon.
Severe weather is not in the forecast.
As a cold front/shortwave move toward the area Friday, numerous showers and thunderstorms are posed to develop, mainly after 2PM. Strong to severe thunderstorms are in the forecast during this timeframe, as CAPE will be quite excessive during the day. Large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes are possible. Highest severe risk looks to be north of I/20.
A few showers are possible early Saturday morning, but clearing skies will occur late morning into the afternoon with drier air and subsidence moving into the region. Highs will be cooler in the 60s.
We warm back up quickly Sunday with highs approaching 80°F by the afternoon hours.
We look to turn active with frequent severe risks heading into the week of the 9th-16th.