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Scattered Showers and Storms This Morning

6/20/2018

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*no Texas Weather Discussion Video due to Drum Major Camp week*

Our latest radar imagery this morning over North Texas shows scattered showers and thunderstorms located over the western and central part of the region, followed by a large rainmass over much of east Texas moving northward in association of a weak tropical disturbance in South Texas.  The surface map continues to show a surface front positioned from Nevada through the mid-Atlantic states.  Most of the rain today will be in the great Lone Star State as we continue to get deep moisture from the weak tropical system and as the frontal system marches southward.  Highs should be in the upper 80s again with frequent breaks from the clouds.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be common throughout the day. 
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The SPC is forecasting a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms for areas pretty much along the frontal boundary.  Damaging wind and large hail at times can be expected.
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Nothing to see out in the tropics because the Atlantic Basin and the Eastern Pacific remain quiet.

Going to our upper air observations, that ridge that has been in place over the Southeastern US for quite some time will be weakening over the next couple of days as a upper low and associated trough and storm system moves eastward out of Nebraska over the coming days.  That is why moisture is more freely flowing across Texas this morning.  However, that won't really affect our weather going forward through the rest of this week.  We will quickly catch up to summer again with afternoon highs in the mid 90s again, followed by some triple-digit heat by Friday with mostly sunny skies.  Interesting to note that the GFS does print widespread 100 degree weather for Texas as we head into Friday evening...
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So really after today, we transition to our usual summer pattern with mostly sunny skies with a few clouds and a chance of an isolated storm or two during the afternoon and evening hours.  Humidity values will drop back into the 50-60 percent range as well.

For next week, same thing.  Mix of sun and clouds with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s with a chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms.  Not really a need to elaborate on typical summer time weather in Texas.

So that's about it for today.  I will try to have a blog out for tomorrow and Sunday, but I will be gone for Drum Major camp starting tomorrow.  So the timing of blog posts may vary.  

Enjoy your hump day!  Make sure to make someone smile today!  

​Donovan Neal
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