The cold front has stalled to our south and east, and temperatures in DFW have fallen into the 50s. A couple thunderstorms have developed east of DFW along the boundary. A few storms will likely develop in DFW later this evening into the overnight, and a few could be strong with frequent lightning and heavy rain. Coverage will only be 40% or so.
Tomorrow will be a cool day with highs in the 60s. Scattered showers and a few t-storms will be possible through the day, but no severe storms are anticipated. As the warm front lifts northward Sunday night, widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop with near an 80% chance of rain. Some of these could turn strong with hail or some gusty winds, but the severe risk remains very low. Below is the European model for late tomorrow evening/early overnight.
Monday morning will have storms around, but we should see some dry weather around midday before redeveloping thunderstorms are likely during peak heating. Highs will be in the low to mid 70s. No severe weather is expected.
Dry weather is anticipated Monday night with temperatures in the 60s. However, a few showers or sprinkles aren't ruled out.
By Tuesday, the first wave of energy will approach West Texas during the afternoon. Strong to possibly severe storms could develop, and these will be watched as they march eastward. These storms will turn into a squall line, and will make a run at DFW & North Texas late Tuesday night. If it can make the trip, a strong or severe storm with damaging winds and heavy rain will be possible. The level of certainty is very low regarding this timeframe, and we should have a better idea by Monday. The best chance will be in our western counties.
After a few potential morning t-storms on Wednesday, a couple afternoon storms could develop during the afternoon. This will be a timeframe to watch for some severe storms once again, with hail or wind likely being the main threat. Another squall line could develop in West Texas and will make a run at North Texas once again Wednesday evening and night. If it makes it, some strong or severe storms will be possible. These may last into Thursday morning, and this will have a large affect on Thursday afternoon.
Dependent on the speed of the dryline on Thursday and how much destabilization we can have, severe thunderstorms may fire up during the afternoon along the dryline. The best chance will be east of I/35. This potential will be watched the next few days. Stay tuned as we refine the details to this weeks forecast the next few days.
Friday will be drier and cooler with highs in the 60s. A strong cold front may move in late in the day and highs could be in the 50s and 60s on Saturday with a chance of scattered rain showers. Severe weather would be very unlikely during this time due to a chillier pattern in place.