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Rainy & mainly Mild Pattern

2/18/2018

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Its been a rainy weekend so far with a few areas seeing .5"-1.5" of rain in the DFW metroplex. These totals will continue to increase through the next 10 days with a fairly wet pattern developing for Texas into the Ohio Valley.

Temperatures: They will remain fairly mild with many days in the 60s & 70s, but Wednesday looks to be a much colder day with highs possibly in the 30s and 40s. We will rebound to near 50° by Thursday, with 60s by next weekend.

Any threat of winter weather: This threat is near zero the next 10 days, except for Wednesday. Widespread storms will continue Tuesday Night, but that may transition to freezing rain and sleet, mainly NW of DFW. By afternoon, the NAM and Icon models both have temperatures falling into the mid and lower 30s by late afternoon Wednesday. With a disturbance and abundant moisture bringing widespread precipitation, we will watch for any threat of the rain switching over to freezing rain and sleet. This appears unlikely, but we will continue to monitor this potential in the next 48 hours.

Precipitation totals: This is going to be the wettest pattern we've experienced since the summer of 2017. Amounts of 2-4" of rain are expected Tuesday and Wednesday, and a flash flood watch may be needed, but I think the NWS may hold off on doing that at this time due to the recent lack of rainfall. An additional 1-4" of rain looks to fall after that. So the official forecast is 3-8" of rain possible in the next 10 days. Sorry sunshine lovers, the sun looks to be mainly vacant for a while. We may have a brief reprieve in chances of rain next Sunday & Monday, but the European continues to bring a high chance of rain those days, so will leave a 30% chance of rain for now.

Enjoy your evening, DFW. By the way, this is a new writer for ApexWxs' website.

-Jonathan Williams.
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