A LITTLE WARMER - Temperatures are mostly in the mid 40s with some of the readings at the 50° mark. The good news is, we will not stay like this all day, as we will warm to the low 60s during the afternoon with a mix of sun and clouds. Tomorrow will be very similar to today; mild, mix of sun and clouds, highs in the low 60s by the afternoon.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND - We turn very mild by Friday; afternoon highs will surge into the low 70s with a mix of sun and clouds. As a developing storm system gets closer to the region, we will see an increase of showers and thunderstorms during the evening on Friday. There will be some instability, so thunderstorms will be possible, with a few marginally severe storms not out of the question. The SPC has defined a "marginal risk" of severe storms for pretty much all of the North-Central Texas region as well as much of Central Texas.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will persist overnight into Saturday morning as the strongest arctic front of the season arrives during the morning. Current data has been suggesting the possibility of rain transitioning into a wintery mix by Saturday afternoon. Since this is a possibility highlighted by numerous ensemble members, we will introduce a small chance of wintery precipitation on Saturday. It is too early to specific tell exact snow amounts and the exact placement of the system, so be sure you are sticking with the latest forecasts, as this can very well change. Otherwise, mostly cloudy conditions can be expected throughout the day with temperatures going the wrong way, falling below freezing by the afternoon.
We transition to brutally cold weather by Sunday, with possible morning lows in the upper teens to low 20s. If that wasn't bad enough, wind chills are expected to be in the teens to single digits throughout the day, not just the morning. Don't let the sun fool you, we will most likely be in the low to mid 30s throughout the day. The good news is, that storm system will be well in the northeast US by then, so no wintery precipitation is expected.
NEXT WEEK - Much of next week will feature more clouds than sun with highs mostly in the upper 40s with morning lows in the 30s... See the Texas Weather Discussion Video for more details.