WARM MORNING - Temperatures are mostly in the upper 70s to low 80s this morning across North Texas. Today will be no different than the past few days; mostly sunny, hot and humid with temperatures in the upper 90s. I doubt we will hit the triple digits today.
A surface front approaches from the north this morning which will set off the chance of mainly isolated showers and thunderstorms today and through the weekend. The best coverage will be confined mainly for northern counties near the Red River. A few strong thunderstorms will be possible in those counties. In fact, the SPC has a "marginal risk" of severe storms defined for our northern counties today and Sunday. The greatest threats will range from very small hail to gusty winds at times.
This will basically be the weather situation for the weekend with the stalled surface front just to the north of the Red River. The sky will feature a mix of sun and clouds with a few passing isolated showers and thunderstorms with a few strong storms in the mix. A few storms could be on the strong side as mentioned above. Highs will be in the mid to upper 90s.
NEXT WEEK - A cold front pushes through North Texas Monday morning, and scattered showers and thunderstorms will become possible as a result. I'd say the best chance of any one spot getting wet is in the 40 percent range. Rain amounts today and throughout much of next week will be in the in the 1/2 inch - 0.8 inch range for much of North Texas.
After the cold front comes through, drier air and cooler temperatures will cover much of the region thereafter. Tuesday looks immediately dry with highs in the low 90s and lows in the low 70s. See the Texas Weather Discussion Video for more details.
TROPIX - Tropical Storm Ernesto is located in the Northern Atlantic, and will become post-tropical by Saturday afternoon, and a wave approaching the Windward Islands has a 20 percent chance of development over the next five days as a result of dry air and shear. The rest of the Atlantic Basin remains quiet.