isolated t-storms Possible today

The clouds are clearing across the DFW area, and the sunshine is FINALLY coming out! But, if you thought we were done with the storms, think again!

Isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon. Coverage will be less than 25%, but have the rain gear just in case. Rather be safe than sorry!!

We will dry out and clear out overnight with some sunshine returning for your Friday. Most people have the day off, and we will have a very pleasant day with highs in the lower 70s. A stray shower or thunderstorm may develop east of our area with any lingering lift or moisture, but DFW will remain dry, and basically all of North Texas should remain dry.

Heading into Saturday, an increase of low level moisture ahead of our next boundary with cause for some clouds, especially towards the latter half of the day. As this boundary approaches the metroplex, a few showers and thunderstorms may develop along it. This will mainly occur during the overnight hours, with the highest rain chances north of I/20 and east of I/35. No severe weather is anticipated at this time.

By Sunday morning as many of us head to church and the kiddos have their Easter egg hunts, clouds will be in abundance across the area with a small chance of a shower or storm mainly east of DFW. A few isolated showers and possibly a few thunderstorms may develop during the afternoon hours, but I don't see much of a risk for any severe storms. A strong storm with gusty winds and frequent lightning isn't ruled out.

By Monday, clouds will be with us once again with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected throughout the day. With CAPE approaching 1000, a few storms may turn strong to severe with hail and gusty winds as the primary risks. Coverage will be near 30%.
A few isolated storms are possible Monday night into Tuesday, with a few strong storms possible mainly with a marginally severe hail risk.

On Tuesday, isolated rain showers and possibly a thunderstorm will be around during the morning hours. Significant instability is expected by the evening, and a dryline and a cold front will be approaching. Strong to severe storms are expected to develop along these features with all modes of severe weather looking possible, with very large hail being the highest risk.

We will remain active mid to late next week with storms appearing likely with a threat of severe storms each day.

Looking at the long range guidance, the models have continued to show a chance of a spring Arctic blast near the 8-10th of April. It's WAYYYYYYY to early to know anything else than a general idea. It's possible that we don't see any cold and that we stay warm. Due to at least a low risk of some cold air, I would recommend not planting just yet. If you did, don't worry at this point because this scenario likely won't happen, but it's not ruled out at this time. I'll keep y'all updated on this chance, although I'm quite doubtful in this cold solution.

Have a great day and God bless!

-Jonathan Williams