Today will be a pleasant day across the area, with highs near 80°F. Sunshine is expected to prevail throughout the day. A few clouds are possible late this afternoon and into the evening hours. Overnight, we are only expected to fall into the upper 50s &a lower 60s.
By tomorrow, a weak boundary will be approaching the metroplex. Moisture will be around, but other features to produce storms will be lacking. I have a dry forecast, but some cumulus fields may develop along and south of the boundary. Behind the front, gusty northerly winds will pick up and winds may gust as high as 40mph across the region. This front won't have much affect on temperatures, and we will soar to the mid to upper 80s across the area. Our western counties will have an elevated fire danger, but with recent storms on Friday, this should migitate the overall potential of widespread fire danger. On Wednesday, sunshine and mice temperatures will be in play with highs in the mid-upper 70s with a few 80°F readings possible. Thursday will be the exact same, but some more cloud cover will be in place. A cold front, dryline, and a strong shortwave will move towards Texas on Friday. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to break out in West Texas, and some of those storms map produce large hail and damaging winds. By fridya evening, scattered showers and possibly a few storms will be around in the DFW area. Cloud to ground lightning and brief heavy rain will be the primary threat in DFW. Early Saturday, the dryline and cold front will still be west of the DFW area. Showers and a few storms will be around in DFW, with more numerous activity west of us. By noon, scattered storms will be in DFW, but again, more numerous activity will be along and west of I/35. Some storms may be severe with large hail and damaging winds. By late afternoon into early evening, a squall line of strong to possibly severe storms will be in the DFW area. Damaging winds and large hail will be the primary risks with steep lapse rates and decent shear, and the directional shear may be just enough to produce a low-end tornado risk. The guidance yesterday suggested that CAPE will be near 500-1500 J/kg, and today's guidance suggests CAPE values near 1500-2500 J/kg across the area. A more "significant" severe potential has developed due to a rapid increase in instability. We will watch this closely. A few showers are possible Sunday, but we dry out by Monday. |
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