Today will be a fantastic day, with highs in the upper 70s to near 80° across the area today under partly cloudy skies. Cumulus fields may develop this afternoon, leading to beautiful mix of sun and clouds today! All of North and Central Texas is forecasted to remain dry during the daylight hours today. A boundary will approach the area late tonight. Let's talk more about this...
As a cold front approaches us, isolated to possibly scattered showers and t-storms will develop. It is uncertain how far south these storms progress at this time. Therefore, will introduce 30% storm chances for the DFW area overnight. Severe weather isn't expected, but a few storms may be strong with dime to nickel size hail and gusty winds. Any storm may produce brief heavy rain and lightning as well. Tomorrow afternoon the boundary will still be draped along the Red River, so our northern tier of counties will be colder with temperatures mainly into the 50s, while we remain into the 70s and 80s. High uncertainties take place into Monday. The frontal boundary is expected to move farther south, but just how far south is uncertain. There are also questions on how far north does it lift back north as low level moisture and several other factors take place. Depending on where this happens, it may either be a warm/humid day with a few storms, or a cold and dreary day (low 50s for highs) with widespread drizzle in the forecast. The GFS keeps us warm, but the NAM keeps us cold and dreary with drizzle. I'm leaning towards the NAM solution due to a more progressive pattern in the upper level flow, but I will keep warmer highs in the forecast. However, I will lower forecast high temperatures to the 70° mark. We will keep you updated on this very tricky forecast.
Either way, the front will lift back north Monday night and we will be significantly warmer Tuesday morning. Temperatures (if cold solution verifies) will warm up overnight to the upper 60s, or if the warmer solution verifies, we will remain mainly steady overnight.
We will watch as another cold front moves into the region Tuesday afternoon and evening. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop during this time with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. As this front moves southeastward, thunderstorms will develop in our western and northwestern counties after 2PM and track towards the metroplex and will arrive early evening. With significant amounts of instability, this will set the stage for strong to severe storms. All modes of severe weather appear possible. Stay tuned on this forecast!
We will dry out Wednesday with cooler air, but warm air returns late week with strong storms (severe possible) returning Friday with a potential of a chilly pattern next Friday. Low potential of any freezes or much cold air, but it's there.
Have a great Saturday!