Today may be the last real hope of seeing an isolated storm or two in North Texas before we go completely dry for a while. Temperatures at mid-day today range from 88-95 degrees. There will be a very slight chance of a pop-up shower or two, but those chances will become non-existent as the week goes on and the ridge strengthens. Warm air aloft + a strong ridge = convection struggles to initiate.
With less showers and clouds, heat levels start to rize. The high today will mostly peak at 98 with some spots reaching the triple digits; it is still a possibility. After tomorrow, highs in the 100-degree range will be the talk for much of the remaining week and also much of next week. Additionally, we can expect heat index values to range from 105 to even 110 degrees. Not very surprising given the time of the year, but we are a few degrees above average.
Weekend - Not much change in the forecast. It will continue to be mostly sunny and very hot with highs in the 100s. No rain expected this weekend.
Next Week - Early next week, clouds may return to the area, but temperatures are still expected to be just at or a little above 100-degrees. By the latter half of the week, heights start to come down, and the ridge pushes to the west, which may allow some moisture to return to the area. Showers and storms will be possible along a surface front coming from the north. Regardless, it will still be very hot for the rest of this week and next week. See the Texas Weather Outlook Video for more details.
Tropical Talk - Tropical Storm Don formed just to the south of Barbados yesterday afternoon. This storm is expected to pass through the Winward Islands tonight and the southern Caribbean Sea tomorrow. Peak winds were about 50 MPH, but not expected to reach hurricane strength. The NHC shows Don weakening into a depression by tomorrow weakening to an open wave by Thursday as it enters a harsh environment from Southern America.
There is another area of concern (Invest 96L) that is riding on Don. This is expected to gain latitude and track to the northwest. Some development of this is possible over the next five days.
Have a great rest of the day, and stay cool.