CLEARING THIS AFTERNOON: Now that the morning rain has dissipated, we are left with a mix of sun and clouds, dry conditions, and highs in the low 80s by noon. Expect another warm up by ten degrees this afternoon with highs in the low 90s expected.
SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON: After our usual round of morning showers and thunderstorms, we will deal with another threat of strong to severe storms for much of North Texas during the afternoon. The SPC currently has the standard "slight risk" (level two of five) of severe storms over all of the North-Central Texas region for the entire day on Wednesday...
TIMING: Supercellular development is possible during the early afternoon beginning at around 3pm. Storms may quickly increase in number and turn severe during the evening. The best time for severe storms for the metroplex is from 3pm to 3am Wednesday morning.
THREATS: Since storms will form in supercells/clusters, the main risk will range from large hail to damaging winds. Some very large hailstones is possible due to the storm mode and expected lapse rates. The tornado potential, on the other hand, remains very low, but not zero. Heavy rain is likely for communities that experience severe storms, but flash flooding is not expected.
CALL TO ACTION: Be sure you have a reliable, robust way of receiving warnings before tomorrow. An outdoor warning siren should not be your primary method of getting warnings. Otherwise, you will have no hope of knowing when a severe thunderstorm is coming. Every home/business should invest in a NOAA Weather Radio. And, just in case, make sure you have your storm shelter ready.
REST OF THE WEEK: The chance of showers and storms should diminish as we turn mostly sunny and very hot on Thursday and Friday. Highs each day will be in the mid to upper 90s, and it will feel like it is in the triple digits, so be sure to stay hydrated and prepare for the hot weather.
THE WEEKEND: Not much change, mostly dry and sunny with highs in the low 90s, which is basically at seasonal averages for this time of the year. A few isolated showers and storms are possible early Sunday morning, but most of the weekend should remain quiet.
NEXT WEEK: Much of the same, dry weather will continue for the last full week of June; mostly sunny, dry conditions, highs in the low 90s. See the Texas Weather Discussion Video for more details.
TROPICS: The Atlantic Basin is very quiet, and tropical cyclone development is not expected for at least the next ten days.