Clouds are in abundance right now, and they will stay that way all day. A few spotty showers are possible this afternoon as a cold front moves through the region. Temperatures will fall into the lower 50s late afternoon and evening. Grab the coat!
Overnight, we will fall to the lower 40s and a few mid 40s across the area, with even a few 30s in isolated spots north/west of the metroplex. A few 50s aren't ruled out in the warmer areas. (Heat island affect of Dallas) Heading into your Monday, we have a tricky forecast in play. If the front doesn't lift back north, we will be cold and dreary all day with highs in the 40s & 50s. If it does lift back northward, we will warm to the mid 70s with isolated severe storms developing late afternoon with CAPE near 2000 late afternoon as very weak lift moves into the area. I apologize for the inconvenience for not really knowing what will happen, due to models having very little agreement of what happens tomorrow, therefore making me have to give you the 2 scenarios that will play out. For now, time will tell. Either way, the front will be north of us tomorrow night and we will be in the 60s (rising temps overnight if cold solution or steady temps in warm solution) with a threat of a storm or two. No severe weather is expected at this time. As another front and dryline approach us early Tuesday afternoon, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop. CAPE at 2PM will be near 3000, so any storms may turn severe quickly. The main threat will be very large hail, but damaging winds and a tornado is possible. The threat will shift south/east of the metroplex late afternoon and evening. Some of the timing is uncertain, so I'll keep you updated. Cooler air and subsidence will move in Wednesday leading to sunshine and highs in the lower 60s. We warm up on Thursday with partly sunny skies with highs in the 70s. A stray thunderstorm may develop in the afternoon. Our next system and frontal boundary moves in next weekend, with a chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday into Saturday. A few severe storms are possible Friday &a Friday Night. Some cooler air will move in Saturday with highs back into the upper 50s. Jonathan Williams Weather Forecaster Storm Specialist NWS/NOAA Ambassador |
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