After a sunny day today, things shift heading into your Easter Sunday. Widespread low cloud cover will increase across the area overnight with a cloudy sky tomorrow. A few isolated showers may develop along a boundary during the daytime north of DFW. A few sprinkles are possible in DFW, but none of this will be a washout. Any amounts will be well north of our area, and even those will be very very light. A few storms may develop overnight in Oklahoma, as well. We will be in the 80s tomorrow, with some 70s. Cooler air will remain along the Red River.
This boundary will likely lift back north Sunday evening, but if it doesn't, we may turn colder Monday IF the boundary pushes farther south tomorrow evening. I'll keep you updated. (w/ colder solution, highs would be in the mid 50s)
Either way, we will be cloudy on Monday with a slight chance of rain with the boundary lifting northward drawing in warm air and moisture Monday night. Temperatures will rise if we have the colder solution Monday night, otherwise they will remain steady near 70°F.
Another cold front and dryline will move towards the area Tuesday afternoon and evening. The most likely scenario will be as this boundary moves towards the Red River mid afternoon Tuesday, severe storms will fire up. The will track southeast and affect the metroplex during the evening hours. Significant instability will aid in this severe risk.
Medium range models are in general agreement with the timing of a southern-stream trough to move across central/eastern parts of TX/OK by peak heating on Tuesday. A moist, unstable, and strongly sheared warm sector will be conducive for organized severe storms to develop initially in vicinity of a dryline with supercells likely. -Storm Prediction Center (NOAA/NWS)
All modes of severe weather are possible indvluding large hail, damaging winds, isolated tornadoes, very heavy rain, pockets of flash flooding, and frequent lightning are possible in these storms.
The front clears our area late Tuesday night bringing in subsidence and cooler air, making for a mainly sunny and cool Wednesday with highs in the lower to mid 60s.
As another frontal boundary and short waves rotate across the region, more showers and thunderstorms return next weekend, mainly on Friday and Saturday. Severe weather appears unlikely at this time. The best chance of rain will be east of the metroplex.
This cold front may bring some relatively cooler air in next Saturday and Sunday with highs possibly into the 50s in the vicinity with lows in the 40s. Any freezes *should* remain well into the Oklahoma/Arkansas area and points north and east.
Have a great Saturday and have a Happy Easter!