Above is predictive CAPE values tomorrow afternoon. Most data kept it less than 1000 today, but now it's over 2000! This means our severe potential tomorrow evening is higher. More on that in a second, but let's talk overnight and tomorrow morning.
Widespread dense fog has developed over the past few hours, and we may see a shower or storm this evening NE of DFW. Some rain moves in near daybreak tomorrow. Some rain could be heavy at times, but I don't have any severe storms in the morning. A few rumbles of thunder and strikes of lightning are possible however. Rain will continue through midday, and numerous showers and storms are expected through 5PM. We may see a lull from 5PM until 7pm. But, a squall line of strong to severe storms will develop out to the west by 7PM. Since instability will he higher than expected, the slight risk area will likely include Dallas/Fort Worth tomorrow morning, and an enhanced risk is possible east. The main threats with these storms will he some large hail and damaging winds, but a tornado is possible in D/FW. The primary time is from 7pm-11pm with these strong thunderstorms. Flash flooding may be a threat because storms may produce torrential rainfall at times. Cloud to ground lightning is likely along with some very intense and loud thunder claps!
The storms will move east of the area late in the night, and Thursday, Friday, and Saturday will be sunny and dry days. A chance of storms return on Sunday, some of which may be strong to severe, and a few showers and storms are possible Monday, some may be severe as well, mainly east of the D/FW metroplex.
Some storms will return late next week, and with a very unstable atmosphere indicated by the European, some more severe weather will be possible.
Some colder air may return by next weekend, but no extreme cold or winter weather is expected.
The NAO will take a dip to negative again in late March, and some wintry weather may return in that timeframe. (Yes, it can still snow in late March)
Have a great evening!